Posted on | November 6, 2012 | 1 Comment
It is a very real possibility that a serious of bad turnout models means that Obama’s support in the states is overestimated by as many as 5 points as explained here. If they are wrong across the board by 4 points, then here’s the landslide scenario that Michael Baron and Dick Morris (among others) must be seeing. Personally, I don’t see this happen, but I wouldn’t be shocked. After all, the polls – though seemingly wrong – would still have been within the margin of error this map depicts. Granted, it would be a historic miss by the polls – but they’ve missed badly before. 1948, 1976, 1980, 1994, 2002, 2010.