NPR Poll Agrees with Gallup – Romney may be up 6

Posted on | October 30, 2012 | 1 Comment

NPR released its latest 2012 Presidential Poll, showing Romney with a narrow lead, 48-47.

Gallup, meanwhile has Romney up 51-46 as of the same date.

Why the difference?  NPR estimates that Democratic turnout will exceed Republican turnout by 6%.  Gallup says that Republicans will exceed Democrats by 1%.  Here’s how it breaks down.

So, the polls have the same results – just different ways of determining likely voters.  Who’s gonna be right?

Related Posts:

• How the Polls Might Be Wrong 2
• Federal Review Composite Poll, Election Projection and Simulation
• Newspaper Endorsements for President 2012
• Why Romney Will Win (the Nomination and the Election)
• Landslide Scenario – Turnout Based

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