Posted on | October 30, 2012 | 1 Comment
NPR released its latest 2012 Presidential Poll, showing Romney with a narrow lead, 48-47.
Gallup, meanwhile has Romney up 51-46 as of the same date.
Why the difference? NPR estimates that Democratic turnout will exceed Republican turnout by 6%. Gallup says that Republicans will exceed Democrats by 1%. Here’s how it breaks down.
So, the polls have the same results – just different ways of determining likely voters. Who’s gonna be right?