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Why Romney Will Win (the Nomination and the Election)

Posted on | February 21, 2012 | 7 Comments

Despite the current conniptions over a possibly contested convention in Tampa, Romney will gain the delegates necessary before then. Even though the GOP has done an admirable thing with most states allocating proportionally rather than winner-take-all. Proportional allocation guarantees a longer primary fight.

And if, for some reason, Romney does not have the numbers come August, then Santorum, Gingrich and Paul can hold to their delegates and hope to get others to turn, or they can be kingmaker and release them with an endorsement. Gingrich isn’t releasing delegates. Paul has made it clear his candidacy is about power at the convention. Getting his views heard and on the platform. So, an audit of the Federal Reserve will be in the GOP platform.

But if Paul then has to pick among Gingrich, Santorum and Romney, Who’s he going to pick? It won’t be Gingrich and his big government solutions proclivities. It won’t be Santorum, as Paul’s live and let live philosophy doesn’t gel well with Santorum’s righteous religious conservatism. No, Paul will support Romney because of Mitt’s free market principles, and an understanding that Romneycare was little more than a conservative trying to figure out how to “get things done” in a very liberal state with a very liberal legislature (the legislature would have done worse without Romney and would have overridden any veto). Paul won’t fear Romney as being some bedroom-invading social conservative, knows his instincts are free market capitalism, and that Romney’s foreign policy may very well be less interventionist than the record of both Santorum and Gingrich.

So, there you go.

I’m a political junkie. I talk a lot about politics. A lot of 2008 Obama voters are not pleased with the president’s performance, and I’ve heard many say they’d be willing to vote for Romney. Even more Republicans have said they will never vote for Gingrich, but vote third party. The independents won’t warm to Santorum, as he’s an easy target to make “scary”, fairly or not. Romney can beat Obama easily, especially as there’s a hunger for competent, grown-up management after pie-eyed hope. Romeny would win with as many as 350 electoral votes. Romney wouldn’t be fighting to win North Carolina – it’d be in the bag. The battle would be waged in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Blue states. Not in Virginia, Nevada, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Ohio, Florida or Indiana (tradtional red states).

Add Christie or Rubio to the ticket, it’s even easier.

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Comments

7 Responses to “Why Romney Will Win (the Nomination and the Election)”

  1. Murali
    February 21st, 2012 @ 8:17 pm

    W – I totally agree with this, except for the part that it’s very likely Romney wins against Obama. He has the best chance of the bunch, but he has to run the perfect campaign to do it. Santorum has no chance, IMO. Newt, maybe.

    I’m tired of having religion shoved in my face by lying politicians (all of them). Santorum – NO.

    Ron Paul will eventually back Romney. That will carry Romney to the nomination. I agree with you on that point.

  2. Beverly Lloyd
    February 21st, 2012 @ 9:09 pm

    I pray that you are right.

  3. Piotr
    February 22nd, 2012 @ 8:41 am

    I predicted Romney a year ago. The reason is that I do not believe in the “will of the voter” during the primaries. I believe the primaries are a circus for the masses, with the actual nominee selected by the party brass. Just look at the democrats in last 3 elections. Obama was selected by Kennedy & Co. before he even run for Senate. Kerry was selected because he is a good ole’ boy WAY before the primary. Romney has been selected last spring, and NOTHING will change that. Just look what the GOP bosses did to Christine O’Donnel in Delaware (no, she is not stupid or a witch).

  4. Glenn B
    February 23rd, 2012 @ 9:37 am

    I am not too sure about your prediction of to whom delegates may be pleged by Paul. I am thinking he will go with Santorum. I think Gingrich will do likewise. Time will tell.

    I fear Romney may win the nomination and the presidency and our nation will suffer for it; not as much as under Obama but let’s face it – Romney is by all accounts a liberal Republican. More liberalism from a Democrat or Republican is not what is needed now.

  5. Jeff
    February 25th, 2012 @ 1:17 am

    I heard rumors about Rand Paul being picked for VP. I’m intrigued. Put him in charge of the budget.

  6. Hank
    February 26th, 2012 @ 2:07 pm

    It’s really too early to know one way or another. Romney has put his foot in his mouth a few times and the “state run media” (as Rush calls it) and the Hollywood PR machine are already pulling for Obama. In addition, there’s always luck.

  7. Anthony
    February 29th, 2012 @ 7:41 pm

    Rubio would be an excellent addition to the ticket regardless of who the nominee is, but I see little value in adding either Rand Paul or Chris Christie. Christie won’t be able to deliver NJ to the GOP in a race against Obama, and, strategically, it does nothing to shore up the south by having two northerners, especially northeasterners, on the ticket. As for Rand Paul, Obama won’t win KY in any case, so Paul adds little to the ticket, unless he is supposed to be the bone that the establishment tosses to the Tea Party.

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