Posted on | February 21, 2012 | 7 Comments
Despite the current conniptions over a possibly contested convention in Tampa, Romney will gain the delegates necessary before then. Even though the GOP has done an admirable thing with most states allocating proportionally rather than winner-take-all. Proportional allocation guarantees a longer primary fight.
And if, for some reason, Romney does not have the numbers come August, then Santorum, Gingrich and Paul can hold to their delegates and hope to get others to turn, or they can be kingmaker and release them with an endorsement. Gingrich isn’t releasing delegates. Paul has made it clear his candidacy is about power at the convention. Getting his views heard and on the platform. So, an audit of the Federal Reserve will be in the GOP platform.
But if Paul then has to pick among Gingrich, Santorum and Romney, Who’s he going to pick? It won’t be Gingrich and his big government solutions proclivities. It won’t be Santorum, as Paul’s live and let live philosophy doesn’t gel well with Santorum’s righteous religious conservatism. No, Paul will support Romney because of Mitt’s free market principles, and an understanding that Romneycare was little more than a conservative trying to figure out how to “get things done” in a very liberal state with a very liberal legislature (the legislature would have done worse without Romney and would have overridden any veto). Paul won’t fear Romney as being some bedroom-invading social conservative, knows his instincts are free market capitalism, and that Romney’s foreign policy may very well be less interventionist than the record of both Santorum and Gingrich.
So, there you go.
I’m a political junkie. I talk a lot about politics. A lot of 2008 Obama voters are not pleased with the president’s performance, and I’ve heard many say they’d be willing to vote for Romney. Even more Republicans have said they will never vote for Gingrich, but vote third party. The independents won’t warm to Santorum, as he’s an easy target to make “scary”, fairly or not. Romney can beat Obama easily, especially as there’s a hunger for competent, grown-up management after pie-eyed hope. Romeny would win with as many as 350 electoral votes. Romney wouldn’t be fighting to win North Carolina – it’d be in the bag. The battle would be waged in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Blue states. Not in Virginia, Nevada, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Ohio, Florida or Indiana (tradtional red states).
Add Christie or Rubio to the ticket, it’s even easier.